Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 194.666875 224.591751 258.453604 299.781604 349.093441 406.332817 478.219515
2025-10-12 159.149407 198.761658 248.008349 314.434416 402.766263 517.718852 681.166385
2025-10-19 133.301547 175.568320 231.582388 312.587289 428.986722 593.756221 851.212366
2025-10-26 118.890606 163.496705 225.791258 321.280284 467.869458 691.163496 1070.815508
2025-11-02 106.818015 152.247943 218.533472 325.291386 498.812621 780.768765 1298.106175
2025-11-09 97.551976 143.477048 213.129019 330.391257 531.149379 877.460478 1560.349611
2025-11-16 88.874673 134.312115 205.583973 330.348229 554.090335 961.555596 1820.441274
2025-11-23 81.394884 126.030495 198.196190 329.086596 574.050083 1043.330475 2097.313931
2025-11-30 75.993914 120.428815 194.389561 333.234313 604.206125 1150.152002 2457.834536
2025-12-07 68.603909 110.705117 182.398702 320.706516 599.834526 1185.659275 2665.291016
2025-12-14 63.490697 104.345152 175.543769 316.777300 611.842841 1258.085840 2984.724198
2025-12-21 60.045327 100.541387 172.808036 320.346031 639.909041 1372.024352 3449.816192
2025-12-28 58.502544 100.383703 177.492794 341.062286 712.982777 1619.069536 4416.441593
2026-01-04 56.418846 99.070319 179.961282 357.979137 782.337097 1880.992006 5574.956758
2026-01-11 52.484412 93.825749 174.063632 355.822430 805.690989 2029.005143 6442.239885
2026-01-18 50.196285 91.497685 173.704759 365.947854 862.099461 2288.206017 7868.711091
2026-01-25 47.619238 88.320035 171.183662 370.622507 905.422346 2523.788774 9364.467369
2026-02-01 45.390835 85.613661 169.323876 376.568309 953.768483 2793.120551 11208.973418
2026-02-08 42.890485 82.100876 165.301522 376.518133 985.143213 3018.053087 13030.616522
2026-02-15 40.514769 78.628025 160.980974 375.047001 1012.166106 3238.857524 15029.383471
2026-02-22 38.783778 76.371343 159.166039 379.884035 1060.116603 3558.032462 17897.631780
2026-03-01 35.924131 71.420445 150.607916 365.279285 1042.503438 3614.053205 19222.717300
2026-03-08 33.937611 68.235882 145.906949 360.701806 1057.496913 3812.562214 21721.027058